Model Metrics
Auditable out-of-sample metrics calculated on processed events. Capital-allocation charts use only rows with confirmed archived market prices; probability-quality cards summarize the broader processed archive.
Updated: 04/09/2026, 08:17 AM.
Processed events: 260. Confirmed priced rows: 446. Last processed event: 04/09/2026, 08:10 AM.
Latest priced row used by the charts: 04/09/2026, 06:01 AM.
Processed Positions
446
Net Position Delta
+19.52u
Historical Yield on Turnover
+4.38%
Mean Implied Price
1.98
Log Loss
0.690
Brier Score
0.247
Mean Probability Divergence
8.13 p.p.
Max Drawdown
-10.32u
Equity curve on confirmed positions
End-of-day capital allocation using only rows with confirmed archived prices. This avoids synthetic backfilling of missing price states.
Drawdown profile
Peak-to-trough capital contraction inside the selected slice of confirmed positions.
Probability quality layer
These diagnostics are computed from the broader processed archive and should be read together with the capital-allocation charts, not in isolation.
End-of-day capital allocation using only rows with confirmed archived prices. This avoids synthetic backfilling of missing price states.
Net daily contribution grouped by settlement date inside the selected slice.
Peak-to-trough capital contraction inside the selected slice of confirmed positions.
Average out-of-sample return per processed position within the selected slice.
Top leagues by processed-position count in the selected slice.
Probability-quality diagnostics summarize the processed archive. Capital-allocation charts remain stricter and require confirmed archived prices before a row can affect the visible equity history.