Model Metrics
Auditable out-of-sample metrics calculated on processed events. Capital-allocation charts use only rows with confirmed archived market prices; probability-quality cards summarize the broader processed archive.
Updated: 06/03/2026, 04:39 PM.
Processed events: 133. Confirmed priced rows: 204. Last processed event: 05/10/2026, 04:46 PM.
Latest priced row used by the charts: 05/10/2026, 04:45 PM.
Processed Positions
204
Net Position Delta
+15.04u
Historical Yield on Turnover
+7.37%
Mean Implied Price
1.95
Log Loss
0.761
Brier Score
0.273
Mean Probability Divergence
21.51 p.p.
Max Drawdown
-8.56u
Equity curve on confirmed positions
End-of-day capital allocation using only rows with confirmed archived prices. This avoids synthetic backfilling of missing price states.
Drawdown profile
Peak-to-trough capital contraction inside the selected slice of confirmed positions.
Probability quality layer
These diagnostics are computed from the broader processed archive and should be read together with the capital-allocation charts, not in isolation.
End-of-day capital allocation using only rows with confirmed archived prices. This avoids synthetic backfilling of missing price states.
Net daily contribution grouped by settlement date inside the selected slice.
Peak-to-trough capital contraction inside the selected slice of confirmed positions.
Average out-of-sample return per processed position within the selected slice.
Top leagues by processed-position count in the selected slice.
Probability-quality diagnostics summarize the processed archive. Capital-allocation charts remain stricter and require confirmed archived prices before a row can affect the visible equity history.